A Note on testing for nonstationarity in autoregressive processes with level dependent conditional heteroskedasticity

Rodrigues, P.M.M., A. Rubia , (2008) , "A Note on testing for nonstationarity in autoregressive processes with level dependent conditional heteroskedasticity" , Statistical Papers , 49 , 581-593 .
Autor(es) CEFAGE
Paulo Manuel Marques Rodrigues
Resumo

In this paper, we investigate the empirical distribution and the statistical properties of maximum likelihood (ML) unit-root t-statistics computed from data sampled from a first-order autoregressive (AR) process with level-dependent conditional heteroskedasticity (LDCH). This issue is of particular importance for applications on interest rate time-series. Unfortunately, the extent of the technical complexity related associated to LDCH patterns does not offer a feasible theoretical analysis, and there is no formal knowledge about the finite-sample size and power behaviour or the ML test for this context. Our analysis provides valuable guidelines for applied work and directions for future work.

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